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Global Construction Outlook 2022

Published: March 2018

No. of Pages: 54

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Report Description
Table of Contents

Synopsis

This report provides a detailed analysis of the prospects for the global construction industry up to 2022.

Summary

The Construction Intelligence Center (CIC) has revised upwards its forecast for growth in the global construction industry. In line with improved performance in some major markets and a brighter outlook for the global economy, the CIC now expects the pace of expansion in the global construction industry to average 3.7% a year over the forecast period (2018–2022), compared with 3.6% in the December 2017 forecast update. In real value terms (measured at constant 2017 prices and US$ exchange rates), global construction output is forecast to rise to US$12.4 trillion in 2022 from US$10.4 trillion in 2017.

The global economy will continue to post healthy rates of growth in 2018–2019, and investor confidence will remain buoyant. The expected tightening in monetary policy in major markets in 2018 will start to push up the cost of borrowing, but with interest rates generally at or near historical lows, this tightening process is not expected to have a major impact on construction activity during the early part of the forecast period. Construction output growth will slow in the latter part of the forecast period, reflecting trends in some of the largest markets, notably China and the US

Scope

An overview of the outlook for the global construction industry to 2022
Analysis of the outlook for the construction industry in major global regions: North America, Latin America, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, South and South-East Asia, North-East Asia, Australasia, the Middle East and North Africa, and Sub-Saharan Africa.
A comprehensive benchmarking of 83 leading construction markets according to construction market value and growth
Analysis of the latest data on construction output trends in key markets.

Reasons To Buy

Evaluate regional construction trends from insight on output values and forecast data to 2022. Identify the fastest growers to enable assessment and targeting of commercial opportunities in the markets best suited to strategic focus.
Identify the drivers in the global construction market and consider growth in emerging and developed economies. Formulate plans on where and how to engage with the market while minimizing any negative impact on revenues.

Key Highlights

The faster pace of growth in global construction output in 2018 is being driven primarily by the pickup in advanced economies, with growth in these markets combined rising to 2.7% over the year. This is primarily due to the improvement expected in construction output in the US, following a sluggish outturn in 2017.
Although growth in emerging markets will remain in excess of that in advanced economies over the forecast period, there will be a steady slowdown in growth in construction spending in emerging markets – primarily reflecting trends in China, which has the largest construction market in the world.
The Asia-Pacific region will continue to account for the largest share of the global construction industry, given that it includes the large markets of China, Japan and India. The pace of growth will slow, however, given the projected slowdown in China’s construction industry.
Construction activity is gathering momentum across Western Europe. The region’s output will expand by 2.5% a year on average in 2018–2022, improving on the sluggish growth of 1.3% in 2013–2017.
Sub-Saharan Africa will be the fastest growing region in 2018–2022, with rapid expansion in Ethiopia’s infrastructure development, with a number of other countries in Eastern Africa experiencing high rates of growth. Nigeria’s recovery will also help to drive up construction activity in Sub-Saharan Africa, but South Africa will continue to struggle to generate growth momentum.

Table of Contents

1. Global Outlook

2. Regional Outlook: US and Canada
2.1. Overview
2.2. Key updates

3. Regional Outlook: Latin America
3.1. Overview
3.2. Key updates

4. Regional Outlook: Western Europe
4.1. Overview
4.2. Key updates

5. Regional Outlook: Eastern Europe and Central Asia
5.1. Overview
5.2. Key updates

6. Regional Outlook: South and South-East Asia
6.1. Overview
6.2. Key updates

7. Regional Outlook: Australasia
7.1. Overview
7.2. Key updates

8. Regional Outlook: North-East Asia
8.1. Overview
8.2. Key updates

9. Regional Outlook: Middle East and North Africa
9.1. Overview
9.2. Key updates

10. Regional Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa
10.1. Overview
10.2. Key updates

11. Appendix
11.1. About The Construction Intelligence Center
11.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables

Table 1: Global Construction Output Growth (Real, % change), 2017–2022
Table 2: Global Construction Output Value (Real 2017 US$ billion)
Table 3: US and Canada, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ 2017 Billion), 2013–2022
Table 4: Latin America, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ 2017 Billion), 2013–2022
Table 5: Western Europe, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ 2017 Billion), 2013–2022
Table 6: Eastern Europe and Central Asia, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ 2017 Billion), 2013–2022
Table 7: South and South-East Asia, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ 2017 Billion), 2013–2022
Table 8: Australasia, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ 2017 Billion), 2013–2022
Table 9: North-East Asia, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ 2017 Billion), 2013–2022
Table 10: Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ 2017 Billion), 2013–2022
Table 11: Middle East and Africa, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ 2017 Billion), 2013–2022
Table 12: US and Canada, Construction Output Growth (Real, % change)
Table 13: Latin America, Construction Output Growth (Real, % change)
Table 14: Western Europe, Construction Output Growth (Real, % change)
Table 15: Eastern Europe and Central Asia, Construction Output Growth (Real, % change)
Table 16: South and South-East Asia, Construction Output Growth (Real, % change)
Table 17: Australasia, Construction Output Growth (Real, % change)
Table 18: North-East Asia, Construction Output Growth (Real, % change)
Table 19: Middle East and North Africa, Construction Output Growth (Real, % change)
Table 20: Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Output Growth (Real, % change)

List of Figures

Figure 1: Global Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2018–2022
Figure 2: Global Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2013–2017 and 2018–2022
Figure 3: Global Construction Output, Contribution to Growth, 2018–2022
Figure 4: Global Construction Output vs GDP (Real, average % change), 2018–2022
Figure 5: Global Construction Output Value (Real, 2017 US$ billion), 2017 and 2022
Figure 6: US and Canada, Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2018–2022
Figure 7: US and Canada, Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2013–2017 vs 2018–2022
Figure 8: US and Canada, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ 2017 Billion)
Figure 9: US, Construction Real Gross Output (% change, year on year)
Figure 10: US, Construction Put In Place (Nominal, % change, year on year)
Figure 11: Canada, Construction Output (Real, Seasonally Adjusted, CAD Million)
Figure 12: Latin America, Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2018–2022
Figure 13: Latin America, Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2013–2017 vs 2018–2022
Figure 14: Latin America, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ 2017 Billion)
Figure 15: Brazil, Construction Gross Value-Add (Real, % change)
Figure 16: Argentina, Synthetic Indicator of Construction Activity (Real, % change)
Figure 17: Peru, Construction Output (Real, % change)
Figure 18: Western Europe, Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2018–2022
Figure 19: Western Europe, Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2013–2017 vs 2018–2022
Figure 20: Western Europe, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ 2017 Billion)
Figure 21: Germany, Construction Production Index (% change, year on year)
Figure 22: France, Construction Production Index (2015=100, seasonally adjusted)
Figure 23: Sweden, Residential Construction Starts (% change, year on year)
Figure 24: UK, Construction Output Index (Real, % change, year on year)
Figure 25: Eastern Europe and Central Asia, Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2018–2022
Figure 26: Eastern Europe and Central Asia, Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2013–2017 vs 2018–2022
Figure 27: Eastern Europe and Central Asia, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ 2017 Billion)
Figure 28: Poland, Construction Value-Add (Real, % change, year on year)
Figure 29: Russia, Construction Value-Add (RUB Billion, constant 2016 prices)
Figure 30: South and South-East Asia, Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2018–2022
Figure 31: South and South-East Asia, Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2013–2017 vs 2018–2022
Figure 32: South and South-East Asia, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ 2017 billion)
Figure 33: Philippines, Construction Output (Real, PHP Million)
Figure 34: Thailand, Construction Gross Value Add (THB Million)
Figure 35: Singapore, Construction Value-Add (Real % change, year on year)
Figure 36: Australasia, Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2018–2022
Figure 37: Australasia, Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2013–2017 vs 2018–2022
Figure 38: Australasia, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ 2017 Billion)
Figure 39: Australia, Construction Work Done (Real, % change, year on year)
Figure 40: Australia, Value of Building Approvals (AUD Billion, Trend)
Figure 41: New Zealand, Volume of Building Work Put in Place (NZD Million)
Figure 42: North-East Asia, Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2018–2022
Figure 43: North-East Asia, Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2013–2017 vs 2018–2022
Figure 44: North-East Asia, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ 2017 Billion)
Figure 45: China, Investment in Office Buildings (% change, year on year)
Figure 46: Japan, Total Building Starts (Units)
Figure 47: Middle East and North Africa, Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2018–2022
Figure 48: Middle East and North Africa, Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2013–2017 vs 2018–2022
Figure 49: Middle East and North Africa, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ 2017 Billion)
Figure 50: Saudi Arabia, Construction Value-Add (Real, % change, year on year)
Figure 51: Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2018–2022
Figure 52: Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Output Growth (Real, average % change), 2013–2017 vs 2018–2022
Figure 53: Sub-Saharan Africa, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ 2017 Billion)
Figure 54: Nigeria, Construction Value-Add (Real, NGN Billion)
Figure 55: South Africa, Construction Value-Add (Real, % change, year on year)

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