Retail Futures Q4 DIY & Gardening

Introduction

Verdict Research: Retail Futures is a unique forecasting tool providing dynamic forecasts and analysis of market demand and price pressures every three months. Seven UK sectors forecasts are available (Clothing & Footwear, DIY & Gardening, Electricals, Furniture & Floorcoverings, Food & Grocery, Health & Beauty and Homewares). Also available is an e-Retail forecast and a Sector Summary report.

Scope

• Brief review of economic trends and how they impact retail, explaining how we believe key economic metrics will evolve over the next two years.
• Forecasts of how overall retail and retail sectors will fare over the next eight quarters, examining volume, inflation and overall growth rates.
• Category level forecasts are provided to fully inform growth strategies.
• Forecast for online retailing, analysing total online spend, split down into food and non-food.

Highlights

The recession has driven an increased polarisation of spend. While easing somewhat in food; the Big Four grocers having successfully enticed consumers back from discounters, this trend is most marked in non-food with mid-market retailers still being squeezed as consumers mix premium and value as they take a more cautious approach to spending.

The supermarkets are emerging as the big winners of the recession; benefitting from the essential nature of their core product offer and frugal consumers gravitating towards their non-food categories. While there are some positive results elsewhere, the majority of non-food sectors are suffering, especially discretionary home-related sectors.

Falling commodity prices, less seasonal price fluctuations and intense price competition are causing inflation in food to subside significantly. While inflationary pressures are mounting in non-food, price rises are being pursued with caution with discretionary consumer demand remaining weak.

Reasons to Purchase

• This unique service provides constantly updated forecasts that ensures you are making the right decisions, based on the latest data.
• Use reliable and informed data to identify opportunities for growth and as a key planning tool to aid tactical and strategic decision-making.
• Benchmark performance with confidence and set effective targets to help maximise performance.

OVERVIEW 2

About Verdict 3
Introduction 4
Scope 4
Methodology 5
Principle Sources 6
Definitions 7
Current Prices 7
Constant Prices 7
Volume Growth 7
Inflation 7
Total Growth 8
Percentage point difference with Total Retail 8
Help and tips to use the quarterly forecasts 9
Printing 9
Copying data to Excel 9
Viewing 9
Inserting slides into your own presentations 9
Executive Summary 10
 

List of Tables
Table 1: Principle sources of data and information 6
 

List of Figures
Figure 1: Verdict forecasting methodology 5