Synopsis: While LTE and LTE-Advanced deployments are still underway, mobile operators and vendors have already embarked on R&D initiatives to develop so-called “5G” technology, with a vision of commercialization by 2020. 5G is essentially a revolutionary paradigm shift in wireless networking to support the throughput, latency and scalability requirements of future use cases such as extreme bandwidth augmented reality applications and connectivity management for Billions of M2M (Machine to Machine) devices.
Although 5G is yet to be standardized, vendors are aggressively investing in 5G development efforts with a principal focus on new air interface transmission schemes, higher frequency bands and advanced antenna technologies such as Massive MIMO and beamforming. With large scale commercial deployments expected to begin in 2020, we estimate that 5G networks will generate nearly $250 Billion in annual service revenue by 2025.
The “5G Wireless Ecosystem: 2016 – 2030 – Technologies, Applications, Verticals, Strategies & Forecasts” report presents an in-depth assessment of the emerging 5G ecosystem including key market drivers, challenges, enabling technologies, use cases, vertical market applications, spectrum assessment, mobile operator deployment commitments, case studies, standardization, research initiatives and vendor strategies. The report also presents forecasts for 5G investments and operator services.
The report comes with an associated Excel datasheet suite covering quantitative data from all numeric forecasts presented in the report.
The report has the following key findings:
- Although 5G is yet to be standardized, vendors are aggressively investing in 5G development efforts with a principal focus on new air interface transmission schemes, higher frequency bands and advanced antenna technologies such as Massive MIMO and beamforming.
- Driven by regional, national government, mobile operator and vendor initiatives, we expect that over $6 Billion will be spent on 5G R&D and trial investments between 2015 and 2020.
- With large scale commercial deployments expected to begin in 2020, we estimate that 5G networks will generate nearly $250 Billion in annual service revenue by 2025.
- 5G networks are expected to utilize a variety of spectrum bands for diverse applications, ranging from established sub-6 GHz cellular bands to millimeter wave frequencies.
The report covers the following topics:
- 5G requirements, use cases and vertical market applications
- 5G market drivers and barriers
- Air interface and antenna technologies: new waveforms, millimeter wave radio access, MIMO, phased array antennas and beamforming
- Spectrum technologies: cognitive radio, spectrum sensing, aggregation and LSA (Licensed Shared Access)
- D2D (Device to Device) communications and self-backhauling networks
- Complimentary technologies for 5G: NFV (Network Functions Virtualization), SDN (Software Defined Networking), HetNet (Heterogeneous Networking), C-RAN (Centralized RAN), Cloud RAN, MEC (Mobile Edge Computing), drones and satellites
- Mobile operator commitments, case studies and 5G spectrum assessment
- 5G Standardization and research initiatives
- Competitive assessment of vendor strategies
- R&D, commercial infrastructure and operator service forecasts till 2030
Market forecasts are provided for each of the following submarkets and their subcategories:
5G R&D Investments
- New Waveforms & Millimeter Wave Radio Access
- MIMO, Beamforming & Antenna Technologies
- Interference & Spectrum Management
- C-RAN, Virtualization & Other Technologies
5G Commercial Infrastructure Investments
- Distributed Macrocell Base Stations
- Small Cells
- RRHs (Remote Radio Heads)
- C-RAN BBUs (Baseband Units)
- Mobile Core
- Fronthaul & Backhaul Networking
5G Operator Services
- Service Revenue
- Asia Pacific
- Eastern Europe
- Latin & Central America
- Middle East & Africa
- North America
- Western Europe
Key Questions Answered:
The report provides answers to the following key questions:
- How much will vendors and operators invest in 5G R&D commitments?
- What will be the number of 5G subscriptions in 2020 and at what rate will it grow?
- What will be the key applications of 5G networks?
- What trends, challenges and barriers will influence the development and adoption of 5G?
- Which regions and countries will be the first to adopt 5G?
- Will 5G networks utilize new spectrum bands?
- Who are the key 5G vendors and what are their strategies?
- Will 5G networks rely on C-RAN architecture?
- What are the prospects of millimeter wave technology for 5G radio access networking?
- What will be the impact of 5G on the M2M and IoT ecosystem?
- Will drone and satellite based communication platforms play a wider role in 5G networks?
List of Companies Mentioned:
The following companies and organizations have been reviewed, discussed or mentioned in the report:
- 3GPP (Third Generation Partnership Project)
- 5G Americas
- 5G Forum, South Korea
- 5G Lab (TU Dresden)
- 5G PPP (5G Infrastructure Public Private Partnership)
- 5GIC (5G Innovation Center, University of Surrey)
- 5GMF (Fifth Generation Mobile Communications Promotion Forum, Japan)
- Alpental Technologies
- América Móvil
- ARIB (Association of Radio Industries and Businesses)
- AT&T Mobility
- Athena Wireless Communications
- ATIS (Alliance for Telecommunications Industry Solutions)
- AVC Networks Company
- China Mobile
- Cisco Systems
- Cohere Technologies
- DT (Deutsche Telekom)
- du (Emirates Integrated Telecommunications Company)
- ETRI (Electronics and Telecommunications Research)
- ETSI (European Telecommunications Standards Institute)
- Fraunhofer FOKUS
- Fraunhofer HHI
- Future Forum, China
- Hiroshima University
- IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers)
- IMDEA Networks Institute
- IMT-2020 (5G) Promotion Group, China
- Intel Corporation
- ITRI (Industrial Technology Research Institute)
- ITU (International Telecommunication Union)
- Keysight Technologies
- KT Corporation
- Kumu Networks
- LG Uplus
- Mitsubishi Electric
- MOEA (Ministry of Economic Affairs, Taiwan)
- MOST (Ministry of Science & Technology, China)
- MOST (Ministry of Science & Technology, Taiwan)
- MSIP (Ministry of Science, ICT and Future Planning, South Korea)
- MTS (Mobile TeleSystems)
- NEC Corporation
- New Mexico Spaceport Authority
- NGMN (Next Generation Mobile Networks) Alliance
- NI (National Instruments)
- NTT DoCoMo
- NYU WIRELESS (New York University)
- RF DSP
- Rohde & Schwarz
- SK Telecom
- Small Cell Forum
- TAICS (Taiwan Association of Information and Communication Standards)
- Telecom Italia
- TIA (Telecommunications Industry Association)
- Titan Aerospace
- T-Mobile USA
- Tokyo Institute of Technology
- U.S. Department of Commerce
- U.S. FCC (Federal Communications Commission)
- U.S. NIST (National Institute of Standards and Technology)
- U.S. NSF (National Science Foundation)
- UN (United Nations)
- University of Kaiserslautern
- University of Oulu
- Verizon Wireless
- Viterbi School of Engineering (University of Southern California)
- Vodafone Australia
- Vodafone Group
- VTT Technical Research Center
- WWRF (World Wireless Research Forum)