TABLE OF CONTENTS
Overview 1
Summary 1
Executive Summary 2
Main Conclusions 2
MARKET ANALYSIS 16
Rebound begins in 2010 16
Sub sector trends 18
Luxury vs mass market 21
Regional summary 22
Japan 25
Rest of Asia-Pacific 28
Americas 32
Europe 34
Middle East & Africa 37
OUTLOOK & FORECAST 40
Outlook – economic recovery presents new opportunities 40
Forecast – Asia-Pacific and luxury segment continue to drive demand 51
COMPANY COMPARISONS 59
Market shares 59
Key operating statistics 61
BULGARI 64
Diversified jewelry-based brand 64
Recent key events – 125th anniversary soured by cost cutting 67
Financials – sales slump and profits collapse followed by recovery in 2010 to date 69
Benchmarks – sales plunge further than rival European groups 71
Stores – more cautious opening program 71
Outlook – restructuring faces challenges 73
DAMAS INTERNATIONAL 74
Crisis halts rapid expansion 74
Recent key events – black hole in finances prompts restructuring 76
Financials – rapid sales growth set to unwind 77
Benchmarks – sales drop faster than at rivals 78
Stores – end to rapid expansion 79
Outlook – bright future if investor confidence restored 80
GITANJALI 82
Indian jeweler with global ambitions 82
Recent key events – ambitious investment plans 84
Financials – rides out downturn with robust domestic growth 85
Benchmarks – buoyant domestic market gives edge over peers 87
Stores – rapid retail expansion 87
Outlook – ambitious operator must show focus 88
LVMH 90
Luxury goods build jewelry and watches position 90
Recent key events – further investment in brands and new opportunities 93
Financials – watches & jewelry suffer more than other parts of LVMH 94
Benchmarks – margins weaker than European luxury rivals 97
Stores – expansion continues 97
Outlook – recovery uncertain short term 99
RICHEMONT 101
Emerging market strengths offer recession protection 101
Recent key events – board refreshed to oversee recovery 103
Financials – expansion in emerging markets limits damage from financial crisis 105
Benchmarks – strong margins continue 108
Stores – new stores target emerging markets 108
Outlook – survives recession in good shape 109
SIGNET GROUP 112
Emerges stronger following US market shakeout 112
Recent key events – corporate focus moves to US 114
Financials – margin recovers from 2008/09 sales slump 115
Benchmarks – job cuts lift sales per employee 119
Stores – estate rationalized to reduce costs 119
Outlook – growth potential in US and beyond 123
SWATCH GROUP 125
World’s largest watchmaker 125
Recent key events – investments continue 128
Financials – outperformance during recession 130
Benchmarks – margins the envy of the sector 132
Stores – mono and multibrand expansion 132
Outlook – exits recession in strengthened position 135
TIFFANY & CO 137
Distinctive global jeweler 137
Recent key events – investment through downturn 139
Financials – resilience through recession 140
Benchmarks – impressive employee productivity 142
Stores – much potential for further expansion 142
Outlook – well placed for recovery 143
TSUTSUMI 145
Survives in shrinking market 145
Recent key events – improves performance 147
Financials – forecasts recovery in 2010/11 147
Benchmarks – margins compare favorably with global rivals 148
Stores – new openings increase scale 148
Outlook – bolder approach needed to fulfill potential 148
ZALE CORPORATION 150
Struggles to ensure survival 150
Recent key events – financial woes dominate 152
Financials – collapse in sales plunges group to loss 153
Benchmarks – performance far inferior to Signet 154
Stores – occupancy costs reduced through closure program 154
Outlook – many challenges ahead 156
GLOSSARY 157
Jewelry market definition 157
Financial statistics – VAT 157
Abbreviations 157
Smaller jewelry and watches retailers, wholesalers, designers 159
Ask the analyst 161
Verdict consulting 161
Disclaimer 161
List OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Jewelry and watch expenditure growth by sub sector group 2005-2010e 18
Figure 2: Jewelry and watch expenditure by market segment 2005-2010e 21
Figure 3: Global jewelry and watch expenditure per region, % share 2005 and 2010e 22
Figure 4: Japan jewelry & watch retail spend and growth 2005–2010e 25
Figure 5: Japan’s contribution to sales mix for leading global retailers 2009/10 26
Figure 6: Rest of Asia Pacific jewelry & watch retail spend and growth 2005–2010e 28
Figure 7: Americas jewelry & watch retail spend and growth 2005–2010e 32
Figure 8: Europe jewelry & watch retail spend and growth 2005–2010e 34
Figure 9: Middle East and Africa jewelry & watch retail spend and growth 2005–2010e 37
Figure 10: Mall of the Emirates 2010 39
Figure 11: Key issues in the jewelry and watch market 2010 40
Figure 12: Manufacturer motivations for expanding into retailing 2010 41
Figure 13: Jeweler responses to rising commodity prices 2010 44
Figure 14: Jewelry and watch brand building strategies 2010 45
Figure 15: Artist’s impression of Louis Vuitton Foundation for Creation 2010 47
Figure 16: Y-o-Y growth by region % 2010–2015 53
Figure 17: Global jewelry & watch expenditure % share per region 2010 and 2015 54
Figure 18: Luxury and mass market shares of jewelry and watch market 2010–2015 57
Figure 19: Luxury and mass market growth rates 2005–2010 and 2010–2015 58
Figure 20: Operating margins of jewelry and watch brands 2009/10 62
Figure 21: Bulgari watches & jewelry regional sales split 2010 66
Figure 22: Bulgari product mix 2004-09 67
Figure 23: Interior of Bulgari flagship store, San Francisco 2010 72
Figure 24: Damas International sales mix 2005 and 2008/09 75
Figure 25: LVMH watches & jewelry regional sales split 2009 91
Figure 26: Interior of TAGHeuer store London Westfield 2010 98
Figure 27: LVMH retail stores by division December 2009 99
Figure 28: Richemont brands regional sales split 2009/10 102
Figure 29: Swatch Group brands net sales split 2009/10 126
Figure 30: Swatch Group brand positioning 2010 127
Figure 31: Omega store, Resort, Singapore 2010 133
Figure 32: Hour Passion store, Geneva International Airport store 2010 133
Figure 33: Tourbillon store, Kitzbuhel 2010 134
Figure 34: Tiffany regional sales split 2009/10 138
List OF TABLES
Table 1: Global consumer expenditure on jewelry and watches 2005-2010e 16
Table 2: Jewelry and watch expenditure by sub sector group 2005-2010e 18
Table 3: Jewelry and watch expenditure by market segment 2005-2010e 22
Table 4: Jewelry and watch expenditure by region 2005-2010e 23
Table 5: Y-o-y change % in global jewelry and watch spend by region 2005–2010e 23
Table 6: Jewelry expenditure by region 2005-2010e 24
Table 7: Watch expenditure by region 2005-2010e 24
Table 8: Key sports event/team sponsorship by watch brands 2010 46
Table 9: Global consumer jewelry & watch expenditure 2005–2015 51
Table 10: Jewelry & watch expenditure by region 2010–2015 52
Table 11: Y-o-Y change % in jewelry & watch expenditure by region 2010–2015 52
Table 12: Summary of global jewelry & watch expenditure by region 2010–2015 55
Table 13: Y-o-Y change in jewelry & watch expenditure by sub sector 2010–2015 55
Table 14: Jewelry & watch expenditure by market segment 2010–2015 56
Table 15: Jewelry brands global market shares 2005-2010e 59
Table 16: Jewelry and watch brands key operating statistics years ending 2009/10 61
Table 17: Jewelry and watch brands key operating statistics in US$ years ending 2009/10 61
Table 18: Bulgari company overview 2010 64
Table 19: Bulgari trading record 2005-2010e 69
Table 20: Bulgari trading record in US$ 2005-2010e 69
Table 21: Bulgari benchmarks, year to December 2008 and 2009 71
Table 22: Bulgari stores 2005-2010e 71
Table 23: Damas International company overview 2010 74
Table 24: Damas International trading record 2005-2010e 77
Table 25: Damas International trading record 2005-2010 in US$ 77
Table 26: Damas Interntaional benchmarks, year to March 2009e and 2010e 78
Table 27: Damas International stores 2005-2010e 79
Table 28: Damas International store locations Dec 2007 80
Table 29: Gitanjali company overview 2010 82
Table 30: Gitanjali Group trading record 2005-2010 85
Table 31: Gitanjali Group trading record in US$ 2005-2010 85
Table 32: Gitanjali Gems trading record 2005-2010 86
Table 33: Gitanjali Gems trading record in US$ 2005-2010 86
Table 34: Gitanjali benchmarks, year to March 2009 and 2010 87
Table 35: Gitanjali benchmarks, year to March 2009 and 2010 88
Table 36: LVMH Group company overview 2010 90
Table 37: LVMH trading record 2005-2010e 94
Table 38: LVMH trading record in US$ 2005-2010 94
Table 39: LVMH watches and jewelry trading record 2005-2010e 95
Table 40: LVMH watches and jewelry trading record in US$ 2005-2010e 95
Table 41: LVMH benchmarks, year to March 2009 and 2010 97
Table 42: LVMH retail stores 2005-2010e 99
Table 43: Richemont company overview 2010 101
Table 44: Richemont trading record 2005-2010 105
Table 45: Richemont trading record in US$ 2005-2010 105
Table 46: Richemont jewelry and watch maisons trading record 2005-10 106
Table 47: Richemont benchmarks, year to March 2009 & 2010 108
Table 48: Richemont brands number of retail stores 2005-2010 108
Table 49: Richemont stores, March 2009 & 2010 109
Table 50: Signet Group company overview 2010 112
Table 51: Signet Group trading record 2005-2010 115
Table 52: Signet divisional trading 2005-2010 116
Table 53: Signet Group benchmarks, years to January 2009 and 2010 119
Table 54: Signet Group retail stores 2005-2010e 119
Table 55: Signet US stores 2008-2010 121
Table 56: Signet UK stores 2008-2010 122
Table 57: Swatch Group company overview 2010 125
Table 58: Swatch Group trading record 2005-2010e 130
Table 59: Swatch Group trading record in US$ 2005-2010e 130
Table 60: Swatch Group watches & jewelry trading record 2005-2010e 131
Table 61: Swatch Group watches & jewelry trading record in US$ 2005-2010e 131
Table 62: Swatch Group benchmarks, year to March 2009 & 2010 132
Table 63: Tiffany & Co company overview 2010 137
Table 64: Tiffany & Co trading record 2005-2010 140
Table 65: Tiffany benchmarks, years to January 2009 and 2010 142
Table 66: Tiffany store portfolio 2005-2010e 143
Table 67: Tsutsumi company overview 2010 145
Table 68: Tsutsumi trading record 2005-2010 147
Table 69: Tsutsumi trading record in US$ 2005-2010 147
Table 70: Tsutsumi benchmarks, year to March 2009 & 2010 148
Table 71: Zale Corporation company overview 2010 150
Table 72: Zale Corporation trading record 2005-2010e 153
Table 73: Zale Corporation benchmarks, years to July 2008 and 2009 154
Table 74: Zale Corporation store portfolio 2005-2010 154
Table 75: Zale Corporation store formats 2007-2009 155
Table 76: Smaller jewelry and watches retailers, wholesalers and designers 159