The Public Safety LTE & Mobile Broadband Market: 2014 - 2020

Published: March 2014
No. of Pages: 261
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Considering its thriving ecosystem, spectrum flexibility and performance metrics, public safety organizations worldwide recognize LTE as the de-facto standard for mission critical mobile broadband communications.

With spectrum already allocated, public safety agencies in the Middle East, Asia Pacific and the U.S have already begun to operate private LTE networks. Driven by public safety demands, LTE products can now also operate in spectrum bands previously unthinkable, such as the 400 MHz band, which is widely available to public safety agencies worldwide. Moreover, demands for tactical and rapidly deployable broadband solutions have also led vendors to develop private LTE base station products in a variety of innovative form factors such as Cell in a Box (CIAB) or airborne cells.

SNS Research estimates the global spending on private LTE infrastructure including base stations (eNodeBs), mobile core (EPC) and backhaul will account for $2 Billion annually by the end of 2020. By the same time, the installed base of private public safety LTE base stations (eNode Bs) will reach nearly 155,000 globally, following a CAGR of nearly 60% between 2014 and 2020, and will serve nearly 4 Million private public safety LTE subscribers worldwide.

However it is important to note that the transition to LTE is one of the will be one of the most complex technical changes the public safety communications industry will ever witness and will present challenges in its own right, particularly in the context of global standardization. Furthermore spectrum, regulatory and budgetary issues in certain regions such as Europe will delay large scale private deployments.

Nonetheless, service prioritization partnerships with commercial LTE network carriers will create an ecosystem for operating public safety devices over commercial LTE networks during this transition period. We estimate that public safety LTE device shipments over commercial networks will account for nearly $7 Billion in annual revenue by the end of 2020.

This report presents an in-depth assessment of the global public safety LTE market, besides considering the wider LMR and mobile broadband industries. In addition to covering the business case, challenges, spectrum allocation strategies, industry roadmap, deployment case studies, vendor products, strategies, standardization activities and application ecosystem for public safety LTE, the report also presents comprehensive forecasts for mobile broadband,  LMR and public safety LTE subscriptions from 2011 till 2020. Also covered are public safety LTE service revenues as well as device and infrastructure (eNodeB base stations, EPC mobile core, backhaul) shipment and associated revenue forecasts.

The report comes with an associated XLS datasheet covering quantitative data from all figures presented within the report, as well as a list and associated details of 46 global private public safety LTE network deployments (as of Q1’2014).

Key Findings:

The report has the following key findings:

  • Global spending on private LTE infrastructure including base stations (eNodeBs), mobile core (EPC) and backhaul will account for $2 Billion annually by the end of 2020
  • By the same time, the installed base of private public safety LTE base stations (eNodeBs) will reach nearly 155,000, following a CAGR of nearly 60% between 2014 and 2020, and will serve nearly 4 Million private public safety LTE subscribers worldwide
  • As much as 15% of all public safety LTE investments will be military centric tactical deployments by 2020
  • Commercial carriers and public safety MVNOs will pocket nearly $7 Billion in public safety LTE service revenues by the end of 2020, following growth at a CAGR of 40% between 2014 and 2020
  • A large nationwide deployment such as FirstNet in the U.S. can save up to 40% in TCO (Total Cost of Ownership) over 10-years by opting for a public-private partnership rather than a private only investment
  • Almost all major LMR industry players are leveraging partnerships with established LTE infrastructure vendors such as Ericsson,  Alcatel-Lucent and NSN, to offer end-to-end LTE solutions

Topics Covered:

The report covers the following topics:

  • Business case for public safety LTE and mobile broadband services
  • Key benefits of public safety LTE and mobile broadband
  • Challenges to public safety LTE adoption
  • Public safety agency, network operator and vendor commitments to public safety LTE
  • List of private public safety LTE deployments worldwide
  • Public safety LTE deployment case studies
  • The industry roadmap for the public safety mobile broadband in general and the LTE market in particular
  • Public safety LTE deployment and funding models
  • Spectrum allocation for public safety LTE
  • Public safety LTE applications ecosystem
  • Public safety LTE vendor assessment and strategies
  • Profiles of over 100 players in the public safety LTE ecosystem
  • Public safety LTE standardization
  • Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) analysis of private and commercial public safety LTE deployments
  • Military and tactical LTE deployments
  • Public safety LTE base station form factor analysis
  • Exclusive interview transcripts from 7 industry players including Airbus, Motorola Solutions and General Dynamics
  • Strategic recommendations for vendors, system integrators, public safety agencies and wireless carriers
  • Market analysis and forecasts from 2011 till 2020

Forecast Segmentation:

Market forecasts and historical figures are provided for each of the following submarkets:

Public Safety LTE Base Station (eNodeB) Shipments, Revenue & Installed Base

Network Categories

  • Private LTE
  • Commercial LTE

Form Factor Categories

  • Macrocell
  • Small Cell
  • Relay Node
  • Tactical Cell on Wheel (COW)
  • Tactical Cell in a Box (CIAB)
  • Airborne Cell

Additional Forecasts for Pubic Safety LTE Infrastructure

  • Public Safety LTE Mobile Core (EPC) Investments
  • Public Safety LTE Backhaul Investments

Public Safety LTE Device Shipments & Revenue

Network Categories

  • Private LTE
  • Commercial LTE

Form Factor Categories

  • Handportable LMR Terminal
  • Mobile (In-Vehicle) LMR Terminal
  • Notebook PC
  • USB Dongle
  • Smartphone
  • PDA

Public Safety LTE Subscriptions & Service Revenue

  • Private LTE
  • Commercial LTE

Public Safety User Subscriptions over Private Mobile Broadband

  • Private LTE
  • Private WiMAX

Public Safety User Subscriptions over Commercial Mobile Broadband

  • LTE
  • WiMAX
  • W-CDMA
  • HSPA
  • CDMA2000
  • EV-DO

LMR Subscriptions

  • P25
  • Tetrapol
  • dPMR
  • NXND
  • PDT
  • Analog Radio

LMR Data Subscriptions

  • P25 Phase 1
  • P25 Phase 2
  • Tetropol

The following regional  markets are also covered:

Regional Markets

  • Asia Pacific
  • Eastern Europe
  • Latin & Central America
  • Middle East & Africa
  • North America
  • Western Europe

Key Questions Answered:

The report provides answers to the following key questions:

  • Which countries will be the first to deploy and adopt LTE for public safety applications?
  • How many private public safety LTE base stations (eNodeBs) will ship in 2020, and how will these compare to the wider commercial LTE market?
  • How much will be invested on mobile core (EPC) and backhaul infrastructure to support private public safety LTE deployments?
  • How will the VoLTE ecosystem evolve and how will this impact PTT and voice services for public safety LTE?
  • When will standardized mission-critical voice communications and proximity services see large scale proliferation in the public safety LTE market?
  • How much revenue will the public safety LTE application ecosystem generate in 2020?
  • How will public safety LTE device shipments vary by form factor (handheld LMR terminals, mobile in-vehicle LMR modems, notebook PCs, USB dongles, smartphones, PDAs) overtime?
  • Is the 400 MHZ spectrum realistically feasible to support public safety LTE applications?
  • What are the prospects of tactical, rapidly deployable and airborne LTE solutions?
  • Does Huawei stand a chance in the public safety LTE market outside of Asia?
  • Which vendors and system integrators are the most successful in the public safety LTE market?
  • How many first responders rely on private and commercial mobile broadband networks for their daily tasks?
  • How will private and commercial public safety LTE subscriptions compare in 2020?
  • How will public safety LTE subscriptions compare to other mobile broadband technologies such as WiMAX and HSPA in 2020?
  • What opportunities exist for commercial wireless carriers and MVNOs in the public safety LTE market?

List of Companies

The following companies and organizations have been reviewed, discussed or mentioned in the report:

  • 3GPP (Third Generation Partnership Project)
  • 7 layers AG
  • Abu Dhabi Police
  • ACMA (Australian Communications and Media Authority)
  • Aculab
  • Adax
  • ADCOM911 (Adams County Communication Center)
  • Aeroflex
  • Airbus Defence and Space (Formerly Cassidian)
  • Airbus Group
  • Airspan Networks
  • Airwave
  • Alcatel-Lucent
  • Amdocs
  • Anritsu
  • APCO (Association of Public-Safety Communications Officials-International)
  • Apple
  • Aricent Group
  • Artevea
  • ASTRO Solutions
  • AT&T Mobility
  • ATIS (Alliance for Telecommunications Industry Solutions)
  • Atlas Telecom
  • Aviat Networks
  • Avtec
  • Axell Wireless
  • Axis Communications
  • BAE Systems
  • BASE (Belgium)
  • BayWEB (Bay Area Wireless Enhanced Broadband system)
  • BFDX
  • BlackBerry
  • Bosch Security Systems
  • Brazilian Army
  • Bridgewater
  • Broadcom
  • C4i
  • CalAmp
  • Canadian Advanced Technology Alliance
  • Catalyst Communications
  • CCTI (Catalyst Communications Technologies Inc)
  • China Mobile
  • Cimarron Technologies
  • Cisco
  • CITIG (Canadian Interoperability Technology Interest Group)
  • City of Charlotte
  • City of Fort Worth
  • City of Irving
  • City of New Orleans
  • City of Pembroke Pine
  • Cobham
  • CommScope
  • Covia Labs
  • DAMM Cellular Systems A/S
  • Daniels Electronics Ltd
  • DAPage Notifications
  • DataNet Software
  • Dubai Police
  • Dutch Police
  • EADS
  • Eastcom
  • EENA (European Emergency Number Association)
  • EF Johnson
  • Ericsson
  • Etherstack
  • ETSI (European Telecommunications Standards Institute)
  • Eventide
  • Exalt Communications
  • Exelis
  • Facebook
  • FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency)
  • FCC (Federal Communications Commission)
  • FirstNet (First Responder Network Authority)
  • French Armed Forces
  • General Dynamics
  • General Dynamics C4 Systems
  • German Armed Forces
  • Germany Army
  • Google
  • Harris
  • Harris County
  • HigherGround
  • Hitachi
  • Honeywell
  • Hong Kong Police Force
  • HQT Radio
  • HTC
  • Huawei
  • Hughes
  • Hytera
  • iCOM
  • ICOM America
  • Imtradex
  • Intel
  • InterDigital
  • InterSec
  • Intrado
  • IPWireless
  • ITT Corporation
  • ITU (International Telecommunications Union)
  • Japan Radio Company
  • Jordanian Armed Forces
  • JVC Kenwood
  • Kapsch CarrierCom
  • Kelrad Software
  • Kenwood
  • Kirisun
  • Kodiak Networks
  • KPN
  • L-3 Communications
  • LA-RICS (Los Angeles Regional Interoperable Communications System)
  • Las Vegas Metropolitan Police Department
  • Lemko
  • Lenovo
  • LG Electronics
  • LG Uplus
  • LiveViewGPS
  • Lockheed Martin
  • Mentura Group
  • MetroPCS
  • Miami Dade Police Department
  • Miami-Dade County
  • Ministry of Communications, Libya
  • Ministry of Public Security (MPS), China
  • Mobistar
  • Moscow Police
  • Motorola Mobility (Part of Lenovo)
  • Motorola Solutions
  • Mutualink
  • National Rail (UK)
  • NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization)
  • NEC
  • Net4Mobility
  • NetMotion Wireless
  • Nevada Department of Transportation
  • New York Police Department
  • New Zealand Police
  • NextNav
  • NIST (National Institute of Standards and Technology)
  • Nokia
  • Nokia Solutions & Networks (NSN)
  • Northrop Grumman
  • NPSTC (National Public Safety Telecommunications Council)
  • nTerop
  • NTIA (National Telecommunications and Information Administration)
  • NVA (Networked Vehicle Association)
  • NYCWiN  (New York City Wireless Network)
  • Oceus Networks
  • OMA (Open Mobile Alliance)
  • Oman Royal Office
  • Ontario Ministry of Transportation
  • OpenSignal
  • Panasonic
  • Panorama Antennas
  • Phonak
  • Piciorgros (Funk-Electronic Piciorgros GmbH)
  • Pikewerks Corporation
  • Polaris
  • Police Federation of Australia
  • Portalify
  • POTEVIO International
  • PowerTrunk
  • Proximus
  • PSCR (Public Safety Communications Research)
  • Putian
  • Puxing Radio
  • Pyramid Communications
  • Qatar Armed Forces
  • Qatar MOI (Ministry of Interior)
  • Qualcomm
  • Radio IP
  • Radisys
  • RAVEN Electronics Corporation
  • Raytheon
  • Reality Mobile
  • RELM Wireless
  • Réseau Ferré de France (RFF)
  • Rivada Networks
  • Rohde & Schwarz
  • Rohill
  • Royal Canadian Mounted Police
  • SAIC (Science Applications International Corporation)
  • Samsung
  • SANG (Saudi Arabian National Guard)
  • Sao Paulo Military Police
  • Sapura Secured Technologies
  • SaskTel
  • Saudi MOI (Ministry of Interior)
  • Savox Communications
  • Selex ES
  • Sepura
  • Shanghai Police
  • Siemens
  • Signalion
  • Simoco
  • SiRRAN
  • SK Telecom
  • SmithMicro
  • Sonic Communications
  • Sony
  • Space Data
  • Star Solutions
  • State of Louisiana
  • State of Mississippi
  • State of New Jersey
  • State of New Mexico
  • State of Oklahoma
  • Stop Noise
  • SyTech Corporation
  • Tait
  • TCCA (TETRA and Critical Communications Association)
  • TCS (TeleCommunication Systems)
  • TD Industry Alliance(TDIA)
  • Techosonic Industries
  • Tecore Networks
  • Telenet
  • Televate, LLC
  • Teltronic
  • Telum
  • TETRAtab
  • Texas Instruments
  • Thales
  • The Genesis Group
  • TIA (Telecommunications Industry Association)
  • TITAN Communication Systems
  • T-Mobile
  • Toshiba
  • Trident Microsystems
  • Turkish National Police Force
  • Twisted Pair Solutions
  • U.K. Home Office
  • U.S. Army
  • U.S. Cellular
  • U.S. Coast Guard
  • U.S. Department of Commerce
  • U.S. Department of Defense
  • U.S. Department of Homeland Security
  • U.S. Navy
  • U.S. Special Operations Command (SOCOM)
  • UIC (International Union of Railways)
  • UNIMO Technology
  • University of Ottawa
  • USPTO (U.S. Patent and Trademark Office)
  • Utility
  • Verizon Wireless
  • Vidyo
  • Vodafone
  • Voice Print International
  • West Australian Police
  • Zetron
  • Zhengzhou Metro
  • ZTE

Published By: SNS Telecom & IT
Product Code: Signals and Systems Telecom46

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