The GCC Power & Desalination 2012

Published: June 2012
No. of Pages: 155
  

An in-depth outlook of the GCC power and desalination market up to 2020

In addition to providing you with in-depth analysis on future projects planned by clients, the report includes the latest survey of developers and contractors in each state, as well as an assessment of the growing alternative energy opportunities

You will benefit from detailed insight into:

  • Proprietary long-term forecasting for demand growth and capacity requirements and rankings of developers and contractors.
  • Overview of market trends and opportunities
  • In-depth analysis by country and market segment
  • Data & Analysis of this $15bn-$20bn a year market since 2009, as well as forecasts and trends up to 2020.

The GCC Power & Desalination 2012

Table of contents

1. Preface  6

2. Executive summary  7

3. Introduction  9

4. The developer market  20

5. Bahrain 27
5.1 Power 27
5.2 Desalination 31
5.3 Fuel and alternative energy 33

6. Kuwait  35
6.1 Power 35
6.2 Desalination 43
6.3 Fuel and alternative energy 46

7. Oman 50
7.1 Power 50
7.2 Desalination 60
7.3 Fuel and alternative energy 65

8. Qatar 68
8.1 Power 68
8.2 Desalination 76
8.3 Fuel and alternative energy 81

9. Saudi Arabia 83
9.1 Power 83
9.2 Desalination 94
9.3 Fuel and alternative energy 99

10. UAE  105
10.1 Abu Dhabi 105
10.1.1 Power 105
10.1.2 Desalination 113
10.1.3 Fuel and alternative energy 117
10.2 Dubai  122
10.2.1 Power 122
10.2.2 Desalination 126
10.2.3 Fuel and alternative energy 129
10.3 Northern Emirates  133
10.3.1 Power 133
10.3.2 Desalination 138
10.3.3 Fuel and alternative energy 141

11. Appendix 1: Gulf IWPPs, IPPs and IWPs 143

12. Appendix 2: Major developers in the Gulf IWPP, IPP and IWP sector  146

13. Appendix 3: Power generation contracts under execution by EPC contractors in the GCC  151

14. Appendix 4: Selected major turbine supply contracts  154

15. Appendix 5: Desalination contracts under execution by EPC contractors in the GCC  155

List of Tables

Table 1: GCC peak power demand, 2011-20 14
Table 2: GCC installed and required capacity, 2011-20 (MW)  14
Table 3: New private power and desalination capacity contracted in the GCC, 2005-11*  21
Table 4: Top 15 private power developers in the GCC by equity capacity* 23
Table 5: Top 10 private desalination developers in the GCC by equity capacity*  24
Table 6: Planned IPPs and IWPPs in the GCC*  26
Table 7: Existing power capacity, 2011  27
Table 8: Existing IPPs and IWPPs, May 2012  28
Table 9: The original 2007 programme for the Addur site 31
Table 10: Existing power plants, 2011  38
Table 11: Selected major power contracts, 2007-11 39
Table 12: Planned power plant projects  42
Table 13: Existing desalination capacity, 2011  44
Table 14: Selected major desalination contracts, 2005-11  45
Table 15: Planned desalination projects, February 2012  46
Table 16: Contracted operational power capacity in the MIS and Salalah System, 2011 52
Table 17: OPWP’s planned capacity retirement programme, 2011-24 (MW)  53
Table 18: Expected new generating capacity, 2012-14 (MW)  53
Table 19: IPPs and IWPPs in Oman, May 2012  56
Table 20: Large-scale desalination plants in operation, 2011  61
Table 21: Planned desalination projects, May 2012  65
Table 22: Installed generating capacity, 2011  69
Table 23: Existing IWPPs/IPPs  71
Table 24: Selected major power plant contracts  72
Table 25: Major transmission projects by Kahramaa, 2005-11 73
Table 26: Kahramaa’s transmission and distribution infrastructure, 2009-11 74
Table 27: Contract packages on phase 10 of the Qatar transmission programme  75
Table 28: Kahramaa’s 2012 transmission plans  76
Table 29: Existing desalination plants  78
Table 30: Major EPC contract awards in the desalination sector 79
Table 31: Planned desalination projects in Qatar 80
Table 32: Major power plants under construction, May 2012 86
Table 33: Private power projects, completed and under way 87
Table 34: Planned private power projects, May 2012  92
Table 35: Planned major power plant projects, May 2012 92
Table 36: Selected existing desalination plants, 2011  95
Table 37: Major selected desalination plants under construction 96
Table 38: Existing IWPPs, May 2012 96
Table 39: Planned desalination projects, May 2012  99
Table 40: Indicative size of the first two renewable energy procurement rounds 103
Table 41: Abu Dhabi’s IPP and IWPP programme, 1999-2011  107
Table 42: Selected major power plant contracts, 2007-11 109
Table 43: Existing desalination capacity contracted by Adwea  113
Table 44: Recent major desalination awards  114
Table 45: Planned desalination projects  117
Table 46: Existing power plants  124
Table 47: Selected major power projects, 2005-11 124
Table 48: Existing desalination capacity in Dubai 128
Table 49: Dubai electricity and water tariffs  131
Table 50: Sewa’s installed and available generating capacity, 2010 137
Table 51: Fewa’s installed desalination capacity, 2009  139
Table 52: Recent and planned desalination awards by Fewa, May 2012  139
Table 53: Gulf IWPPs, IPPs and IWPs, 1999-May 2012 143
Table 54: Major developers in the Gulf IWPP, IPP and IWP sector, May 2012 146
Table 55: Selected power generation contracts under execution by EPC contractors in the GCC, May 2012  151
Table 56: Selected major turbine supply contracts, 2009-Q1 2012 154
Table 57: Selected desalination contracts under execution by EPC contractors in the GCC, May 2012  155

List of Figures

Figure 1: GCC peak power demand and installed capacity, 2011 9
Figure 2: GCC power reserve margin, 2011 10
Figure 3: GCC peak power demand growth 2009-11  11
Figure 4: Installed desalination capacity in the GCC, 2011  12
Figure 5: GCC peak desalinated water demand growth, 2011  13
Figure 6: Additional power capacity requirement in the GCC, 2012-20 15
Figure 7: Additional desalination capacity requirement in the GCC, 2012-20 (‘000 cm/d)  16
Figure 8: Top 10 EPC power contractors in the GCC based on capacity under construction, May 2012 17
Figure 9: Breakdown of feedstock in selected GCC power markets, 2011  18
Figure 10: Total investment secured by IWPPs and IPPs in the GCC* ($m) 21
Figure 11: Contracted private power capacity in the GCC, May 2010 and May 2012 22
Figure 12: Contracted private desalination capacity in the GCC* (‘000 cm/d)  22
Figure 13: Leading developers by equity power capacity, May 2012 (MW) 29
Figure 14: Peak power demand growth, 2005-11 30
Figure 15: Installed desalination capacity, 2011  32
Figure 16: Leading desalination developers by equity capacity, May 2012 33
Figure 17: Installed capacity and peak load, 2006-11  35
Figure 18: Sites of major power and desalination plants  36
Figure 19: Peak load and expected available capacity, 2011-20 40
Figure 20: Breakdown of additional demand by sector, 2012-20 (MW) 40
Figure 21: Planned MEW spending on projects, 2011-14 43
Figure 22: Peak desalination demand and expected available capacity, 2011-20 45
Figure 23: Breakdown of energy consumption by sector, 2011 (%)  46
Figure 24: The power sector’s fuel mix, 2010 (%)  47
Figure 25: Projected fuel consumption by the power sector, 2010-30 48
Figure 26: The MIS and Salalah systems  50
Figure 27: Oman peak power demand growth, 2008-11  51
Figure 28: Contracted capacity and peak power demand in the MIS and Salalah System, 2011  52
Figure 29: Leading international power developers by equity capacity, May 2012  54
Figure 30: Electricity demand projections in the MIS, 2011-18 57
Figure 31: Electricity demand projections in the Salalah System, 2011-18  58
Figure 32: Leading desalination developers by equity capacity, May 2012 (cm/d)  62
Figure 33: Peak water demand forecast for the three main supply zones, 2011-18 63
Figure 34: Peak water demand and desalination capacity in the Dhofar region, 2011-18  64
Figure 35: Projected gas consumption by the power and desalination sector, 2011-18  66
Figure 36: Installed power capacity and peak demand, 2007-11 68
Figure 37: Peak power demand growth, 2007-11 69
Figure 38: Qatar power plant locations 70
Figure 39: Leading power developers by equity capacity, May 2012 (MW) 72
Figure 40: Number of substations in the transmission network, 2005-16  74
Figure 41: Kahramaa spending plan, 2012-22 ($bn) 76
Figure 42: Installed desalination capacity, 2000-11  77
Figure 43: Leading desalination producers by equity capacity, May 2012 (cm/d)  78
Figure 44: Qatar’s water surplus/deficit, 2007-14 80
Figure 45: SEC available generating capacity by technology, 2011 (%)  83
Figure 46: Peak demand growth, 2008-11 84
Figure 47: New power capacity procured in 2011 by GCC state (MW)  85
Figure 48: Leading power developers by equity capacity, May 2012* 88
Figure 49: Distribution of SEC generating units by years of service, 2008  89
Figure 50: Peak power demand forecast, 2011-32 90
Figure 51: Proposed energy mix in 2032 by source (MW)  91
Figure 52: SEC planned project spending annually, 2011-15  93
Figure 53: Leading desalination developers by equity capacity, May 2012 97
Figure 54: Potable water demand and desalinated water production, 2007-31  98
Figure 55: Breakdown of power production by feedstock 2011 (%)  100
Figure 56: Projected oil consumption by the power sector, 2011-30  101
Figure 57: The planned deployment of solar energy  103
Figure 58: Power capacity by type, 1999-2011  105
Figure 59: Leading power developers by equity capacity, May 2012 108
Figure 60: Peak demand growth, 2001-11  110
Figure 61: Abu Dhabi peak power exports by destination, 2010-11  110
Figure 62: Projected Adwec power supplies to Adnoc, Fewa and Sewa, 2012-20 111
Figure 63: Adwec’s peak demand forecasts, 2012-20  112
Figure 64: Leading desalination developers by equity capacity, May 2012 114
Figure 65: Peak desalination demand growth, 2001-11  115
Figure 66: Peak desalinated water supply by region, 2011 (%) 116
Figure 67: Adwea total fuel consumption, 2009-11 118
Figure 68: Peak gas demand forecast for Abu Dhabi’s power and desalination sector, 2010-20* 118
Figure 69: Forecast peak gas demand with and without alternative energy, 2010-20 120
Figure 70: Peak power demand growth, 2005-11 122
Figure 71: Peak power demand and installed capacity, 2005-11 123
Figure 72: Annual growth in Dubai water demand, 2005-11  126
Figure 73: Installed desalination capacity and peak desalination demand, 2005-11 127
Figure 74: Demand outlook for desalinated water, 2011-20 129
Figure 75: Dewa’s fuel bill, 2004-08 130
Figure 76: Dewa’s net income, 2007-09  131
Figure 77: Dubai’s targeted sources of generation, 2030 (%) 132
Figure 78: Fewa’s peak power imports from Abu Dhabi, 2008-11 134
Figure 79: Fewa’s installed generating capacity, 2009 (MW)  135
Figure 80: Sewa’s peak power demand growth, 2008-10  136
Figure 81: Sewa’s peak power imports from Abu Dhabi, 2008-11  138
Figure 82: Sewa’s installed desalination capacity, 2010 140

Published By: Meed
Product Code: Meed1015


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