Table of Contents
Alcoholic Drinks in Uzbekistan - Industry Overview
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Domestic production reaches maturity, while imports present new products
Consumer shift among categories continues based on various factors
Reforms in legislation adversely impact competition, but introduce new ways of marketing
Peculiarities of categories determine distribution channel performance
Solid steady growth projected for alcoholic drinks
MARKET BACKGROUND
Legislation
TAXATION AND DUTY LEVIES
Table 1 Taxation and Duty Levies on Alcoholic Drinks 2011
Table 2 Typical Wholesaler and Retailer Off-trade Mark-ups by Selected Categories 2011
Table 3 Selling Margin of a Typical Beer Brand 2011 - Sarbast Original
Table 4 Selling Margin of a Typical Wine Brand 2011 – Gold Bukhara
Table 5 Selling Margin of a Typical Spirits Brand 2011 - Ekstra
OPERATING ENVIRONMENT
KEY NEW PRODUCT LAUNCHES
Summary 1 Key New Product Developments 2010-2011
MARKET INDICATORS
Table 6 Retail Consumer Expenditure on Alcoholic Drinks 2006-2011
MARKET DATA
Table 7 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
Table 8 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
Table 9 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
Table 10 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
Table 11 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2011
Table 12 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2011
Table 13 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume 2011
Table 14 Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value 2011
Table 15 Company Shares of Alcoholic Drinks by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
Table 16 Off-trade Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Distribution Format: % Value Analysis 2006-2011
Table 17 Off-trade Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Volume Analysis 2011
Table 18 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
Table 19 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
Table 20 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
Table 21 Forecast Sales of Alcoholic Drinks by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016
DEFINITIONS
Published data comparisons
Sources
Summary 2 Research Sources
Alcoholic Drinks in Uzbekistan - Company Profiles
Agrofirma Mehnat OAO in Alcoholic Drinks (Uzbekistan)
STRATEGIC DIRECTION
KEY FACTS
COMPANY BACKGROUND
PRODUCTION
COMPETITIVE POSITIONING
Summary 4 Agrofirma Mehnat OAO: Competitive Position 2010
Legion ShK in Alcoholic Drinks (Uzbekistan)
STRATEGIC DIRECTION
KEY FACTS
INTERNET STRATEGY
COMPANY BACKGROUND
Chart 1 Legion ShK: Legion in TSUM, Tashkent city
PRIVATE LABEL
COMPETITIVE POSITIONING
PTK Pulsar in Alcoholic Drinks (Uzbekistan)
STRATEGIC DIRECTION
KEY FACTS
COMPANY BACKGROUND
PRODUCTION
COMPETITIVE POSITIONING
Summary 8 PTK Pulsar: Competitive Position 2011
Uzvinprom Holding Co in Alcoholic Drinks (Uzbekistan)
STRATEGIC DIRECTION
KEY FACTS
COMPANY BACKGROUND
PRODUCTION
Summary 10 Uzvinprom Holding Company: Production Statistics 2010
COMPETITIVE POSITIONING
Beer in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis
HEADLINES
TRENDS
Beer continued its healthy performance in 2011. The category enjoyed continuous marketing support and strong product developments as well as heavy investments into local manufacturing during the review period. This helped beer achieve stable growth in sales. Marketing campaigns and strong development of the foodservice channel helped it to achieve stable consumer demand. Overall, beer became more of a customary cooling beverage, changing its status from just another alcoholic drink as it was early in the review period.
Production, Imports and Exports
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
In 2011, the competitive landscape did not undergo any significant changes except for switches of some imported brands to domestic. These localised brands have acquired some additional shares. Other than that, players and almost all brands retained their competitive positioning from 2010.
PROSPECTS
Beer has a positive outlook and is highly expected to continue to perform well with a stable growth rate based on several factors. First, as consumer potential in Uzbekistan continues to grow, many new consumers are expected as the younger generation increases. The beer culture will also improve with the increase of beer-houses and other similar outlets specialised for gatherings and dining out. Besides, the number of outlets broadcasting soccer tournaments, selling beer in extremely large volumes, is also increasing. Based on such positive factors, beer is predicted to generate a total volume CAGR of 3% and a 4% constant value CAGR.
CATEGORY BACKGROUND
Lager price band methodology
Summary 11 Lager by Price Band 2011
CATEGORY DATA
Table 22 Sales of Beer by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
Table 23 Sales of Beer by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
Table 24 Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
Table 25 Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
Table 26 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2006-2011
Table 27 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2006-2011
Table 28 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
Table 29 Sales of Beer by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value Growth 2006-2011
Table 30 Beer: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
Table 31 Company Shares of Beer by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
Table 32 Company Shares of Beer by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
Table 33 Brand Shares of Beer 2008-2011
Table 34 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
Table 35 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
Table 36 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
Table 37 Forecast Sales of Beer by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016
Cider/Perry in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis
TRENDS
Cider/perry is not present in Uzbekistan alcohol drinks.
RTDs/High-Strength Premixes in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis
TRENDS
Sales of RTDs/high-strength premixes are negligible in Uzbekistan alcohol drinks.
Spirits in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis
HEADLINES
TRENDS
As one of the most popular alcoholic beverages, spirits accounted for 72% share of total value sales in alcohol drinks in 2011. Although spirits particularly vodka traditionally represents one of the most popular and common alcohol drinks, it is steadily losing competition in volume terms to lower content alcohol beverages, particularly to beer and wine.
Production, Imports and Exports
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
In 2011 Asfar JV led sales with 26%, followed by Farovon OOO PTK and Farvab JV each with 20% market share. Afsar continues to lead because of its mid-segment variety, as Medovaya s Limonom, Na Beryozovyh Pochkah, and Baron brands enjoy consumer loyalty. Meanwhile, Farovon OOO PTK’s stability was attributable to the performance of Ekstra and Koronnaya, which in fact continue to lose share.
PROSPECTS
Despite increasing popularity of other categories of alcoholic drinks, spirits will indeed enjoy a rather stable, albeit low, rate of growth during the forecast period. This is due to the presence of a significant proportion of consumers who are used to vodka consumption on the one hand, and increasing popularity of other kinds of spirits among the youth on the other. Moreover, religious factors are expected to influence sales to a lesser extent, meaning those who have had major concerns have already given up or switched to lower content alcohol beverages, whereas current consumers will remain loyal to strong alcohol drink consumption.
CATEGORY DATA
Table 38 Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
Table 39 Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
Table 40 Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
Table 41 Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
Table 42 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2006-2011
Table 43 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2006-2011
Table 44 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
Table 45 Sales of Spirits by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value Growth 2006-2011
Table 46 Spirits Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
Table 47 Vodka Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
Table 48 Company Shares of Spirits by National Brand Owner 2007-2011
Table 49 Company Shares of Spirits by Global Brand Owner 2007-2011
Table 50 Brand Shares of Spirits 2008-2011
Table 51 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
Table 52 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
Table 53 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
Table 54 Forecast Sales of Spirits by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016
Wine in Uzbekistan - Category Analysis
HEADLINES
TRENDS
Wine continues to represent one of the strategic directions of the food industry of Uzbekistan. As such, unlike spirits and beer, wine continues to enjoy government support and subsidies in cultivation and development of wineries. This is another reason why all wine companies are gathered under one umbrella and aligned in implementation of one policy. With its main aim of producing import-substituting and exportable wine products, wine has greatly improved compared to early on in the review period.
Production, Imports and Exports
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
Uzvinprom Holding Company as holding company accounts for all of domestic sales and majority of total wine sales. Nevertheless, there is competition between producer companies. Vini Italia Exclusive, with its four popular brands - Classico, Incontro, Tradizione, and Emozione – has performed extremely well in recent years including 2011 which benefits from comparatively recent establishment, modern production technological equipment and improved marketing.
PROSPECTS
The trends observed in wine over the review period are expected to remain over the forecast period. Particularly, distribution and events are expected to remain the same, as will the expectation that home consumption will not develop. There is still one trend that is expected to impact sales of wine positively over the forecast period and contribute to sales. It is the health trend that is expected to strengthen across alcoholic drinks and it is expected to attract some consumers from strong alcohol drinks. Overall, wine is projected to display a constant value CAGR of 2% and a 1% total volume CAGR over the forecast period.
CATEGORY DATA
Table 55 Sales of Wine by Category: Total Volume 2006-2011
Table 56 Sales of Wine by Category: Total Value 2006-2011
Table 57 Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2006-2011
Table 58 Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Value Growth 2006-2011
Table 59 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Volume 2006-2011
Table 60 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: Value 2006-2011
Table 61 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
Table 62 Sales of Wine by On-trade vs Off-trade Split: % Value Growth 2006-2011
Table 63 Wine Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
Table 64 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: Total Volume 2011-2016
Table 65 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: Total Value 2011-2016
Table 66 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Volume Growth 2011-2016
Table 67 Forecast Sales of Wine by Category: % Total Value Growth 2011-2016