Estonia Power Market Outlook to 2030 - Business Propensity Indicator (BPI), Market Trends, Regulation and Competitive Landscape

Report Summary

This report gives detailed information on the Estonia power market and assesses the investment opportunities in the country’s power sector. This includes a detailed analysis of the current investment climate in the country’s power sector and over the next decade across 6 broad parameters. Each parameter has a weight assigned, and a weighted average score is calculated to obtain the final country ranking in that region. The study also maps the relative ranking of the key countries in the region according to the current investment opportunities in the country and that by 2020. This report also examines the country’s power market structure and provides historical and forecast numbers for generation, capacity and consumption up to 2030. Detailed analysis of the market’s regulatory structure, supply and demand balance, import and export trends, competitive landscape and power projects at various stages of the supply chain is provided.

Scope

• Analysis of the current investment climate in the country’s power sector across six parameters and over the next decade
• Relative ranking of the key country’s in the region according to the current investment opportunities in the country and that by 2020.
• Statistics for installed capacity, power generation and consumption from 2000 to 2010, forecast forward 19 years to 2030
• Break-up by technology, including thermal, hydro, renewable and nuclear
• Data on key current and upcoming projects
• Information on grid interconnectivity, distribution losses and power exports and imports
• Policy and regulatory framework governing the market
• Detailed analysis of top market participant, including market share analysis and SWOT analysis
• Data sourced from proprietary databases and primary interviews with key participants across the value chain

Reasons to Buy

• Identify opportunities and plan strategies by having a strong understanding of the investment opportunities in the country’s power sector
• Identification of key factors driving investment opportunities in the country’s power sector
• Facilitate decision-making based on strong historic and forecast data
• Develop strategies based on the latest regulatory events
• Position yourself to gain the maximum advantage of the industry’s growth potential
• Identify key partners and business development avenues
• Identify key strengths and weaknesses of important market participants
• Respond to your competitors’ business structure, strategy and prospects

Table Of Contents

1 Table Of Contents 2
1.1 List of Tables 6
1.2 List of Figures 7

2 Executive Summary 8
2.1 Thermal Power is the Dominant Source in the Power Mix 8
2.2 Continued Growth in Power Generation 8
2.3 Clean Energy, the Way Forward 9

3 Introduction 10
3.1 GlobalData Report Guidance 11

4 Business Propensity Indicator Methodology 12
4.1.1 Capacity and Reserve Potential 12
4.1.2 Regulatory Scenario 13
4.1.3 Investment Scenario 14
4.1.4 Transmission and Distribution (T&D) Infrastructure 16
4.1.5 Macro Economic Scenario 17
4.1.6 Competitive Scenario 18
4.2 Methodology Adopted to Arrive at a Final Rank 19

5 Estonia, Power Market, Business Propensity Indicator 22
5.1 Estonia, Power Market, Capacity and Reserve Potential 22
5.2 Estonia, Power Market, Regulatory Scenario 23
5.3 Estonia, Power Market, Investment Scenario 23
5.4 Estonia, Power Market, Transmission and Distribution Infrastructure 23
5.5 Estonia, Power Market, Macroeconomic Factors 24
5.6 Estonia, Power Market, Competitive Scenario 24
5.7 Estonia, Power Market, Conclusion 24
5.8 Estonia, Power Market, Business Propensity Indicator Ranking 25
5.8.1 Present Ranking 25
5.8.2 Future Ranking 25

6 Estonia, Power Market Analysis, 2000-2030 27
6.1 Estonia, Power Market, Demand and Consumption Scenario 27
6.2 Estonia, Power Market, Import and Export Scenario 28
6.3 Estonia, Power Market, Annual Power Consumption, 2000-2030 30
6.4 Estonia, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2000-2030 32
6.4.1 Cumulative Installed Capacity: Breakup by Type of Power Plant 32
6.4.2 Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2000-2030 33
6.4.3 Cumulative Thermal Installed Capacity, 2000-2030 35
6.4.4 Cumulative Hydro Installed Capacity, 2000-2030 37
6.4.5 Cumulative Nuclear Installed Capacity, 2000-2030 38
6.4.6 Cumulative Renewable Installed Capacity, 2000-2030 39
6.5 Estonia, Power Market, Annual Power Generation, 2000-2030 41
6.5.1 Annual Thermal Power Generation, 2000-2030 43
6.5.2 Annual Hydropower Generation, 2000-2030 45
6.5.3 Annual Renewable Power Generation, 2000-2030 47

7 Estonia, Power Market, Leading Active and Upcoming Projects 49
7.1 Estonia, Power Market, Active Power Projects 49
7.1.1 Leading Thermal Power Projects 49
7.1.2 Leading Hydropower Projects 49
7.1.3 Leading Renewable Projects 49
7.2 Estonia, Power Market, Upcoming Power Projects 51
7.2.1 Leading Thermal Power Projects 51
7.2.2 Leading Hydro Power Project 51
7.2.3 Leading Renewable Power Projects 51

8 Estonia, Power Market,, Regulatory Structure 53
8.1 Estonia, Power Market, Overview 53
8.2 Estonia, Power Market, Future Development of Estonian Energy Policy 53
8.3 Estonia, Power Market, Market Liberalization 53
8.4 Estonia, Power Market, Development of Renewable Energy 54

9 Estonia, Power Market, Infrastructure 57
9.1 Estonia, Power Market, Overview 57
9.2 Estonia, Power Market, Transmission and Distribution Network 57
9.3 Estonia, Power Market, Grid Interconnection 58
9.4 Estonia, Power Market, Future Development Plans 58

10 Estonia, Power Market , Competitive Landscape 59
10.1 Estonia, Power Market, Market Share of Major Power Generating Companies 59
10.2 Estonia, Power Market, Key Company: Eesti Energia AS 60
10.2.1 Eesti Energia AS, Company Overview 60
10.2.2 Eesti Energia AS, Business Description 60
10.2.3 Eesti Energia AS, SWOT Analysis 61

11 Appendix 67
11.1 Market Definitions 67
11.1.1 Power 67
11.1.2 Installed Capacity 67
11.1.3 Active Installed Capacity 67
11.1.4 Electricity Generation 67
11.1.5 Thermal Power 67
11.1.6 Hydro Power 67
11.1.7 Nuclear Power 67
11.1.8 Renewable Energy Resources 67
11.1.9 Generation Company 67
11.1.10 Electricity consumption 68
11.1.11 Transmission network 68
11.1.12 Interconnector 68
11.1.13 Transmission and distribution loss 68
11.1.14 Interconnector 68
11.1.15 Transmission and distribution loss 68
11.2 Abbreviations 68
11.3 GlobalData’s Methodology 69
11.3.1 Coverage 69
11.3.2 Secondary Research 69
11.3.3 Primary Research 69
11.3.4 Modeling and Forecasting 70
11.4 Contact Us 70
11.5 Disclaimer 70

List Of Tables

Table 1: Ease of Doing Business-Categories and Subcategories 15
Table 2: Scoring Methodology for the Parameters 20
Table 3: Best Score for Present and Future Scenario 21
Table 4: Power Market, Estonia, Breakdown of Electricity Consumption, By Sector (%), 2011 estimate 28
Table 5: Power Market, Estonia, Electricity Imports and Exports (GWh), 2000-2010 29
Table 6: Power Market, Estonia, Annual Power Consumption (GWh), 2000-2030 31
Table 7: Power Market, Estonia, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Type of Power Plant (%), 2011 32
Table 8: Power Market, Estonia, Cumulative Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 34
Table 9: Power Market, Estonia, Cumulative Thermal Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 36
Table 10: Power Market, Estonia, Cumulative Hydro Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 38
Table 11: Power Market, Estonia, Cumulative Renewable Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 40
Table 12: Power Market, Estonia, Annual Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 42
Table 13: Power Market, Estonia, Annual Thermal Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 44
Table 14: Power Market, Estonia, Annual Hydropower Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 46
Table 15: Power Market, Estonia, Annual Renewable Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 48
Table 16: Power Market, Estonia, Leading Active Thermal Power Plants, 2011 49
Table 17: Power Market, Estonia, Leading Active Hydropower Plants, 2011 49
Table 18: Power Market, Estonia, Leading Active Renewable Plants, 2011 50
Table 19: Power Market, Estonia, Leading Upcoming Thermal Power Projects 51
Table 20: Power Market, Estonia, Leading Upcoming Hydropower Projects 51
Table 21: Power Market, Estonia, Leading Upcoming Renewable Projects 52
Table 22: Power Market, Estonia, Length of Transmission Network by Voltage (km), 2009 57
Table 23: Power Market, Estonia, Market Share of Major Power Generating Companies by Cumulative Installed Capacity (%), 2010 59
Table 24: Eesti Energia AS SWOT Analysis 61
Table 25: Abbrviations 68

List Of Figures

Figure 1: Power Market, Estonia, Thermal Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2011e 8
Figure 2: Power Market, Estonia, Annual Total Generation (GWh), 2000-2011e 9
Figure 3: Weights Assigned to the Six Factors (%), 2000-2020 19
Figure 4: Power Market, Estonia, Business Propensity Indicator 22
Figure 5: Power Market, Estonia, Business Propensity Indicator Ranking 25
Figure 6: Power Market, Estonia, Breakdown of Electricity Consumption, By Sector (%), 2011 estimate 27
Figure 7: Power Market, Estonia, Electricity Imports and Exports (GWh), 2000-2010 29
Figure 8: Power Market, Estonia, Annual Power Consumption (GWh), 2000-2030 30
Figure 9: Power Market, Estonia, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Type of Power Plant (%), 2011 32
Figure 10: Power Market, Estonia, Cumulative Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 33
Figure 11: Power Market, Estonia, Cumulative Thermal Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 35
Figure 12: Power Market, Estonia, Cumulative Hydro Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 37
Figure 13: Power Market, Estonia, Cumulative Renewable Installed Capacity (MW), 2000-2030 39
Figure 14: Power Market, Estonia, Annual Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 41
Figure 15: Power Market, Estonia, Annual Thermal Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 43
Figure 16: Power Market, Estonia, Annual Hydropower Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 45
Figure 17: Power Market, Estonia, Annual Renewable Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 47
Figure 18: Power Market, Estonia, Market Share of Major Power Generating Companies by Cumulative Installed Capacity (%), 2010 59